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The 2026 Farnborough Airshow is expected to focus more on defence technology than commercial aviation as global security concerns continue to rise. Ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East have increased demand for advanced weapons, drones, and AI-powered military systems, making defence companies a major presence at this year’s event. Organisers say defence exhibitors now account for nearly half of the record 1,600 participants.

Industry leaders believe emerging defence startups are reshaping the sector with faster innovation in autonomous and AI-driven technologies. While traditional military platforms such as the F-35 and Eurofighter remain important, experts say future investments are increasingly shifting toward unmanned systems and advanced defence technologies.

On the commercial aviation side, Airbus and Boeing are still expected to announce aircraft orders, but supply chain challenges and production constraints are likely to limit major deals. Manufacturers remain focused on increasing aircraft deliveries and overcoming ongoing shortages of critical components and jet engines to meet growing global demand.

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Germany is considering purchasing additional F-35 fighter jets from Lockheed Martin, potentially expanding its fleet beyond the 35 aircraft ordered in 2022. Sources said Berlin is in talks that could lead to buying more than 35 additional jets, which would significantly increase its reliance on U.S. military technology. Each aircraft costs over $80 million, and deliveries from the earlier order are expected to begin later this year.

The move comes as Germany and France face growing uncertainty over their joint Future Combat Air System (FCAS), a €100-billion program launched in 2017 to develop a next-generation fighter jet by 2040. Disagreements and delays have raised the possibility that the project could be abandoned. German officials, including Chancellor Friedrich Merz, have also questioned whether investing heavily in a new manned fighter jet remains practical given evolving military technology.

Expanding Germany’s F-35 fleet would mark a strategic shift toward closer defense integration with the United States and strengthen its role within NATO’s nuclear deterrence framework. The F-35 is currently the only Western aircraft certified to carry modern B61 nuclear bombs, making it essential for replacing Germany’s aging Tornado jets. While the future of the FCAS program remains uncertain, Germany and France are expected to continue cooperating on other defense areas such as drones and digital warfare systems.

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