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Investor confidence in Germany improved sharply in July, exceeding market expectations, according to the latest survey by the ZEW economic research institute. The economic sentiment index more than doubled to 26.3 points, up from 10.5 in June, outperforming analysts’ forecast of 17.5 points.

ZEW President Achim Wambach said the stronger outlook reflects growing optimism that the German government’s recent reform package is beginning to have a positive impact. The measures, announced by Chancellor Friedrich Merz, include pension, tax, labour, and bureaucracy reforms aimed at boosting economic growth, employment, and competitiveness.

Despite the improved sentiment, the assessment of Germany’s current economic conditions remained negative, though it showed slight improvement. The current conditions index rose to -77.6 points in July from -81.0 points in June, indicating that while confidence is strengthening, economic challenges persist.

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German investor confidence jumped sharply in January to its highest level since August 2021, according to the ZEW economic research institute, signalling rising optimism about Europe’s largest economy. The ZEW expectations index climbed to 59.6 points, far exceeding market forecasts of 50.0 and up from 45.8 in December, as investors grew more hopeful that 2026 could mark a turning point for Germany.

Economists attributed the improved sentiment partly to the government’s expansive fiscal package, which includes higher public spending on defence and infrastructure aimed at reversing the economic slowdown. While expectations improved, ZEW President Achim Wambach cautioned that reforms are still needed to enhance Germany’s attractiveness as a business location and ensure sustainable long-term growth.

Despite the upbeat mood, risks remain. Trade tensions, particularly concerns over potential U.S. tariffs on German and other European exports, could weigh on the outlook. The ZEW’s assessment of the current economic situation improved but stayed deeply negative, highlighting that while confidence is recovering, Germany’s economy is not yet out of the woods.

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