German Business Growth Slows in November as Manufacturing Contracts: PMI

Germany’s private sector lost momentum in November, with manufacturing unexpectedly contracting and the services sector expanding at a slower pace, according to the latest HCOB flash composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) compiled by S&P Global. The index slipped to 52.1 from 53.9 in October, marking a two-month low. Despite the decline, the reading stayed above the 50-point threshold for the sixth consecutive month, signaling continued but weakening growth.

The manufacturing PMI fell deeper into contraction territory at 48.4, compared with 49.6 in October and below expectations for a slight improvement. The sector saw sharp drops in new orders, particularly export sales, which experienced their fastest decline since January. The downturn led to falling backlogs and a rise in job losses. Meanwhile, the services PMI also weakened to 52.7 from 54.6, missing forecasts and contributing to a subdued overall outlook.

“This is a major setback for Germany,” said Cyrus de la Rubia, chief economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank, noting that hopes for stronger service sector expansion have faded. He warned that the economy is “limping towards marginal growth” in the fourth quarter. While government investment in defence and civil engineering has boosted optimism for future output, the finance ministry recently stated that only a moderate recovery is likely by year-end.

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