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France’s Private Sector Slowdown Eases in June

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France’s private sector remained in contraction during June, but the pace of decline eased significantly, according to the latest S&P Global Flash PMI survey. The Composite Output Index rose to 47.6 from 44.9 in May, indicating that business activity is still shrinking but showing signs of stabilization. Economists viewed the improvement as a positive signal after France’s first-quarter GDP was revised to reflect an economic contraction.

The manufacturing sector showed encouraging progress, with the Manufacturing PMI climbing to 50.7, returning to growth territory. Manufacturing output also improved, while the services sector remained weak but contracted at a slower rate than in previous months. The Services PMI rose to 47.4, marking its highest level in three months.

Despite the improvement, demand remained subdued as new orders declined for a seventh consecutive month and export orders continued to fall sharply. Employment levels stabilized after a significant drop in May, while business confidence improved for the first time since January. Cooling cost pressures and softer pricing trends suggested easing inflation, although uncertainties surrounding shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz continue to pose risks to the outlook.

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German Business Activity Falls to 18-Month Low as Services Sector Weakens

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Germany’s private sector activity contracted at its fastest pace in 18 months during June, according to the latest S&P Global survey. The Composite Flash Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) dropped to 48.0 from 48.8 in May, falling short of market expectations and remaining below the 50-point mark that separates growth from contraction.

The decline was driven mainly by the services sector, where the PMI fell to 46.8, its lowest level since November 2022. Business activity and new orders in the sector weakened further, while overall new business across the economy declined for a fourth consecutive month, marking the sharpest fall since December 2024.

Despite the slowdown, the survey highlighted easing inflationary pressures. Input costs rose at the slowest pace in four months, while output price inflation softened. However, business confidence for the next 12 months weakened slightly and remained below long-term averages, raising concerns that Germany’s economy may have slipped back into contraction during the second quarter.

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Euro Zone Growth Slows to Nine-Month Low Amid Rising Costs

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Economic growth across the euro zone slowed sharply in March as rising energy costs and supply chain disruptions weighed on business activity. According to data from S&P Global, the composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for the region fell to 50.7 from 51.9 in February, marking its lowest level in nine months, though still marginally indicating expansion.

The slowdown was largely driven by weakening demand, with new business declining for the first time in eight months. Analysts from S&P Global Market Intelligence highlighted that the ongoing Middle East conflict has pushed up energy prices and disrupted supply chains, erasing earlier signs of recovery. Export orders also dropped, with international demand for services seeing its steepest fall in six months.

Business confidence and employment levels weakened, raising concerns about future growth. While countries like Spain showed resilience, major economies such as France and Italy contracted, and Germany’s growth slowed significantly. Rising input costs, now at a three-year high, have forced companies to increase prices, pushing inflation above the European Central Bank target and complicating the balance between controlling inflation and sustaining economic growth.

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Germany’s Service Sector Growth Slows to Seven-Month Low

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Germany’s service sector growth lost momentum in March, with business activity slowing sharply due to weakening demand linked to the ongoing Middle East conflict. The latest survey by S&P Global showed that the services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to 50.9 from 53.5 in February, marking its lowest level in seven months, though still slightly above the 50 threshold that indicates growth.

The slowdown has been attributed to rising costs, particularly fuel prices, and increased economic uncertainty. According to analysts at S&P Global Market Intelligence, service providers are struggling to pass on higher costs to customers due to weaker demand. New business inflows declined for the first time since September, highlighting the immediate impact of geopolitical tensions on the sector.

Business confidence has also taken a hit, with expectations dropping to a three-month low. The overall composite PMI, which combines manufacturing and services, slipped to 51.9 in March from 53.2 in February, largely driven by the downturn in services. Analysts warn that elevated energy prices, supply chain disruptions, and ongoing uncertainty could continue to weigh on Germany’s economic growth in the coming months.

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German Business Growth Slows in November as Manufacturing Contracts: PMI

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Germany’s private sector lost momentum in November, with manufacturing unexpectedly contracting and the services sector expanding at a slower pace, according to the latest HCOB flash composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) compiled by S&P Global. The index slipped to 52.1 from 53.9 in October, marking a two-month low. Despite the decline, the reading stayed above the 50-point threshold for the sixth consecutive month, signaling continued but weakening growth.

The manufacturing PMI fell deeper into contraction territory at 48.4, compared with 49.6 in October and below expectations for a slight improvement. The sector saw sharp drops in new orders, particularly export sales, which experienced their fastest decline since January. The downturn led to falling backlogs and a rise in job losses. Meanwhile, the services PMI also weakened to 52.7 from 54.6, missing forecasts and contributing to a subdued overall outlook.

“This is a major setback for Germany,” said Cyrus de la Rubia, chief economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank, noting that hopes for stronger service sector expansion have faded. He warned that the economy is “limping towards marginal growth” in the fourth quarter. While government investment in defence and civil engineering has boosted optimism for future output, the finance ministry recently stated that only a moderate recovery is likely by year-end.

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