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France is preparing to host the G7 Summit in Evian-les-Bains from June 15–17, with the conflicts in Iran and Ukraine expected to dominate discussions. French President Emmanuel Macron has crafted a carefully balanced agenda aimed at maintaining unity among G7 leaders and avoiding tensions with U.S. President Donald Trump. Leaders from Gulf nations, including Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, and Egypt, have also been invited due to their involvement in regional security and mediation efforts.

A key focus will be the fragile U.S.-Iran ceasefire and ongoing diplomatic efforts to prevent further escalation in the Middle East. Diplomats believe the atmosphere of the summit could depend heavily on whether Washington secures progress with Tehran before the meeting. At the same time, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy is expected to push for stronger Western support as negotiations with Russia remain stalled and Ukraine intensifies drone attacks on Russian military and energy targets.

Beyond security concerns, G7 leaders will discuss economic challenges such as critical mineral supply chains, global trade imbalances, and reducing dependence on China. France has also encouraged broader discussions involving countries such as India, Brazil, Kenya, and South Korea. Rather than issuing a broad final communiqué, the summit is expected to produce targeted agreements on issues including critical minerals, migration, and international security cooperation.

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International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) chief Rafael Grossi on Monday urged Iran to “re-engage” with the U.N. watchdog so inspections can resume at nuclear sites bombed by the U.S. and Israel a year ago. Iran has yet to inform the agency about the fate of those damaged facilities or the highly enriched uranium—including material close to weapons-grade—stored there. While some basic monitoring continues at the Bushehr power plant, Grossi revealed that the broader channel of communication with Tehran is essentially broken due to safety concerns and escalating regional hostilities.

Concurrently, the United States, alongside Britain, France, and Germany, is driving a draft resolution at the IAEA’s 35-nation Board of Governors. The resolution demands that Iran provide precise information regarding the bombed sites and its enriched uranium stockpiles “without delay.” While expected to pass, diplomats warn that the measure could heavily complicate sensitive, ongoing negotiations between Washington and Tehran aimed at extending a fragile ceasefire and discussing the future of Iran’s nuclear program.

Iran’s mission to the IAEA strongly condemned the Western pressure, arguing on social media that the board is being weaponized to absolve the perpetrators of the 2025 airstrikes. Tehran warned that coercion and confrontation will only undermine diplomatic prospects, a stance that historically signals a potential escalation of its nuclear activities. The diplomatic friction unfolds amid fresh military exchanges between Israel and Iran, despite U.S. President Donald Trump’s demands for an immediate halt to the strikes.

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German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said he would currently discourage his children from studying or working in the United States, pointing to what he described as a worsening social climate and shrinking opportunities even for highly educated professionals. Speaking at a Catholic convention in Wuerzburg, Merz said Germany now offers stronger prospects for young people.

His remarks come amid growing tensions between the United States and its European allies under President Donald Trump. Disagreements over trade, the wars in Ukraine and Iran, and NATO relations have strained ties between Washington and Berlin. Merz recently criticized the United States over the Iran conflict, while Washington responded with plans for partial troop withdrawals from Germany and increased tariffs on European Union car imports.

Although Merz described himself as a longtime admirer of America, he admitted that his opinion was changing. He said many highly educated Americans are struggling to find jobs and suggested the country’s environment has shifted rapidly. Trump has also criticized Germany under Merz, saying the chancellor should focus on fixing his own country before commenting on the United States.

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A group of ships attempted to navigate the Strait of Hormuz after Iran announced the key waterway was open to commercial traffic, but many vessels turned back amid lingering uncertainty. Around 20 ships initially moved toward the strait, marking the largest such effort since its closure during recent tensions, though most halted or reversed course without completing the transit.

Shipping companies cautiously welcomed the reopening but stressed the need for clearer safety assurances, particularly regarding potential sea mines and navigation routes. Iran has said vessels can pass during a temporary ceasefire period, but must coordinate with its authorities and follow designated safe lanes, raising operational and compliance concerns among global shippers.

Industry bodies and officials, including the International Maritime Organization, said they were still verifying conditions for safe passage. With unresolved risks and unclear implementation of Iran’s measures, major shipping firms remain hesitant to resume normal operations, highlighting continued instability in one of the world’s most critical oil transit routes.

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Oil tanker movements slowed sharply near the Strait of Hormuz as vessels began steering clear of the key shipping route ahead of a planned U.S. blockade targeting Iranian ports. Shipping data showed two Iranian-linked tankers exiting the Gulf just before the restrictions were due to take effect, while others hesitated or altered course amid rising uncertainty.

The U.S. move follows the collapse of talks with Iran, with Washington set to enforce the blockade on ships entering or leaving Iranian ports, though it said transit through the strait itself would remain open. Despite this assurance, the announcement has unsettled global shipping markets, disrupting normal oil trade flows that typically supply countries such as China and India.

Several vessels have already changed plans, including a Malta-flagged supertanker that turned back near the strait, while others entered cautiously or remained in holding patterns. The developments highlight growing risks to one of the world’s most critical energy chokepoints, even as a fragile ceasefire remains under strain.

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Tensions escalated sharply as Iran warned it would retaliate against Gulf ports following the U.S. military’s decision to impose a naval blockade on vessels linked to Iranian ports. The move comes after talks failed to secure a lasting ceasefire in the ongoing conflict, raising fears of renewed escalation. Tehran called the blockade illegal and warned that if its ports were targeted, no port in the Gulf region would remain safe.

The blockade, enforced across Iranian ports along the Arabian Gulf and Gulf of Oman, has already disrupted global oil flows. Iran has restricted passage through the Strait of Hormuz, allowing only controlled transit, while the U.S. has vowed to block ships paying Iranian tolls. Two Iranian-linked tankers departed just before the blockade began, underscoring the urgency among traders and operators.

Global markets reacted swiftly, with oil prices surging above $100 a barrel amid fears of prolonged supply disruption. With the fragile ceasefire at risk and negotiations stalled, both sides remain entrenched, raising concerns of further economic fallout and instability in global energy markets.

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Al Carns has said Ukraine could play a significant role in securing the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz, highlighting Kyiv’s advanced drone capabilities developed during its ongoing war. The UK has been leading talks with over 30 nations to address disruptions caused by tensions involving Iran, which have impacted global oil supplies.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy confirmed that Ukraine has already contributed expertise to international consultations and deployed more than 200 specialists to the Middle East. These teams have reportedly helped counter long-range drone threats, showcasing Ukraine’s battlefield innovations. Carns emphasized that such capabilities could be valuable not just regionally but also in safeguarding key global shipping routes.

While reaffirming that Ukraine remains a top defence priority for the UK and its allies, Carns urged Kyiv to expand exports of its military technology to capitalize on rising global demand. He noted that Ukraine’s advancements in drones, AI, and data-driven warfare represent a major shift in modern combat, though delays in export approvals could risk losing momentum as other nations begin catching up.

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Spain has sharply escalated its criticism of Israel and the United States, condemning Israeli strikes on Lebanon and the broader conflict involving Iran. Foreign Minister Jose Manuel Albares described the situation as a grave attack on global values, echoing Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, who has been a vocal opponent of the war.

Madrid’s stance has deepened tensions with Washington, especially amid pressure from allies of Donald Trump to penalize Spain. Sanchez has taken concrete steps, including closing Spanish airspace to aircraft involved in the conflict and urging the European Union to suspend its agreement with Israel, accusing it of violating international law and ceasefire terms.

Spain is also pursuing diplomatic efforts, announcing plans to reopen its embassy in Tehran to support regional peace. Meanwhile, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu criticized Spain’s position, highlighting growing international divisions as Madrid continues to position itself as a leading critic of the ongoing conflict.

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Iran launched drone attacks on Kuwait’s Mina Al-Ahmadi oil refinery, causing fires and further straining global energy supplies, while Israel killed a spokesperson for Iran’s Revolutionary Guards in a targeted strike in Tehran. The ongoing U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran has already disrupted oil and LNG flows through the Strait of Hormuz, affecting roughly 12% of global demand and sending Brent crude prices to $108 per barrel.

Air raids and missile barrages have shaken cities in Israel and Iran, with Israel targeting Iranian government facilities and Iran retaliating with strikes on multiple energy assets in the Gulf. The conflict has displaced millions and killed thousands, heightening tensions in the region and drawing warnings from European allies who emphasize de-escalation and the protection of international shipping lanes.

Despite U.S. and Israeli efforts to disable Iran’s missile and nuclear capabilities, Iran continues production and attacks, highlighting a complex war with no clear end. The crisis has severe economic implications, as energy disruptions are expected to impact supply chains for months or even years, prompting U.S. considerations for deploying additional troops to the region.

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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has sent military and intelligence teams to Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, and Saudi Arabia to assist in defending against Iranian drones, following U.S. and Israeli air attacks. Zelensky highlighted Ukraine’s extensive experience in countering attack drones, built over four years of defending against Russian strikes, and emphasized the importance of sharing this expertise to protect Gulf countries, Europe, and American allies.

Ukraine is offering both its interceptor drones and technical know-how, using mass-produced, cost-effective systems to neutralize incoming threats more efficiently than traditional expensive missiles. The initiative also involves key officials, including Rustem Umerov, secretary of Ukraine’s National Security and Defence Council, to finalize agreements with Gulf nations. Zelensky stressed that this cooperation comes with expectations that partners continue supporting Ukraine’s own air defense, including providing advanced systems like Patriot missiles.

The deployment of Ukrainian drone teams also serves diplomatic and strategic goals, strengthening ties with Gulf allies while generating potential revenue from drone sales. Zelensky expressed pride that multiple countries are now seeking Ukraine’s help, marking a reversal in roles where Kyiv’s expertise is now highly valued internationally, even as domestic needs for air defense remain urgent amid the ongoing conflict with Russia.

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