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Germany has proposed major pension reforms to address the financial strain of its ageing population and ease the long-term burden on younger workers. The plan includes creating a Swedish-style pension fund with mandatory contributions from employers and employees, while gradually increasing the retirement age from 67 in the early 2030s to around 70 by the 2090s. The reforms come as millions of baby boomers approach retirement, placing growing pressure on the country’s pension system.

Experts say the changes could improve the sustainability of Germany’s retirement system over time, but younger generations will continue to shoulder much of the financial burden during the transition. Analysts also note that the traditional pay-as-you-go pension model will remain in place, meaning demographic challenges and low birth rates will continue to impact future workers.

Beyond pensions, younger Germans face rising living costs, expensive housing and weaker wage growth compared with previous generations. Home ownership among people in their 30s has declined significantly over the past three decades, while many millennials have entered the workforce during periods of economic uncertainty. Economists warn that wealth inequality may increasingly depend not only on age, but also on whether younger people inherit assets or rely solely on their incomes.

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Italy’s national statistics bureau ISTAT has slightly lowered its economic growth forecast for 2026, projecting gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 0.7%, down from the 0.8% estimate issued in December. The agency also expects the economy to expand by 0.7% in 2027, supported by stronger-than-expected performance in the first quarter, when GDP rose 0.3% from the previous three months.

Despite the downgrade, ISTAT’s outlook remains somewhat more optimistic than forecasts from the European Commission, IMF, OECD and the Bank of Italy, all of which expect growth between 0.5% and 0.6% over the next two years. Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s government also revised its projections lower in April, citing rising energy costs and ongoing tensions in the Middle East.

ISTAT warned that geopolitical uncertainty continues to pose risks to the economy, particularly developments related to the conflict in the Middle East. The statistics bureau also improved its labour market outlook, forecasting an average unemployment rate of 5.5% this year and in 2027, lower than its previous estimate of 6.1%. Italy’s economy grew 0.5% in 2025, marking a third consecutive year of growth below 1%.

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An artificial intelligence-driven productivity surge could ease pressure on debt-laden advanced economies, but economists caution it will not solve deep-rooted fiscal challenges. With public debt already exceeding 100% of GDP across most wealthy nations and projected to climb further due to ageing populations, defence spending and climate costs, AI-fuelled growth may only buy governments time rather than repair strained public finances.

Early estimates shared by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development suggest that stronger productivity and employment gains from AI could reduce debt levels across member economies by about 10 percentage points from projected levels by 2036. In the United States, some economists see debt rising more slowly — to around 120% of GDP over the next decade — if AI meaningfully lifts growth and tax revenues. However, ratings agency S&P Global Ratings is not yet factoring in a major improvement in public finances.

Demographics remain the biggest constraint. Ageing populations and entitlement spending continue to drive debt higher, and uncertainty surrounds whether AI-led gains will translate into higher wages, employment and tax revenues. Economists warn that without fiscal discipline, even a sustained productivity boom may not offset mounting borrowing costs or prevent market pressure if growth disappoints.

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