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French far-right leader Marine Le Pen is awaiting a crucial court ruling on July 7 that will determine whether she can contest the 2027 presidential election. The appeal challenges a five-year ban from holding public office and a four-year prison sentence imposed in 2025 over the embezzlement of European Parliament funds. The verdict could either clear the way for Le Pen’s fourth presidential bid or force the National Rally (RN) to choose a new candidate.

If Le Pen remains barred, party president Jordan Bardella is widely expected to become the RN’s presidential nominee. Although party leaders insist the transition would be united, many members acknowledge that replacing Le Pen would mark the end of an era for the politician who transformed the National Rally into France’s largest parliamentary party. Bardella’s leadership has also sparked internal debate over the party’s future direction, particularly on economic policy.

Opinion polls suggest both Le Pen and Bardella would comfortably advance to the second round of the 2027 election, with recent surveys showing Bardella attracting even stronger first-round support than Le Pen. However, political analysts note that his relative lack of experience compared with Le Pen could become a key issue if he leads the far-right campaign, making the upcoming court ruling one of the most significant moments in French politics ahead of the presidential race.

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As France prepares for its presidential election next spring, hard-left leader Jean-Luc Melenchon is gaining momentum by expanding support in France’s poorer and multicultural suburbs. The recent victory of independent mayor Bassi Konate in the Paris suburb of Sarcelles highlighted the growing influence of Melenchon’s France Unbowed (LFI) movement among young and diverse voters.

With President Emmanuel Macron nearing the end of his final term and the political center weakening, analysts believe Melenchon could emerge as a strong challenger in the 2027 presidential race. His promises of higher wages, wealth taxes, and stronger public services have resonated with younger voters and working-class communities, particularly in urban suburbs that feel overlooked by mainstream politics.

However, Melenchon and LFI remain controversial. Critics argue that the party’s positions on the Gaza conflict and other issues have contributed to tensions with parts of France’s Jewish community, allegations the party rejects. Despite concerns from some voters and investors, LFI believes its strategy of mobilizing young people and non-traditional voters could help propel Melenchon into a runoff against the far-right in next year’s election.

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French President Emmanuel Macron is facing a major political challenge as lawmakers prepare to vote on his nomination of former chief of staff Emmanuel Moulin to lead the Bank of France. Critics argue the move is part of Macron’s effort to place trusted allies in key institutions ahead of the 2027 presidential election, where the far-right National Rally is expected to be a major contender.

The parliamentary vote is considered a key test of Macron’s influence as his presidency enters its final phase without a clear majority in parliament. Opposition lawmakers from both the left and right have questioned whether Moulin can remain politically independent after serving closely under Macron. However, supporters say Moulin is one of France’s most experienced economic policymakers and well-qualified for the central bank role.

If rejected, the nomination would mark an embarrassing setback for Macron and strengthen claims that his political power is weakening before the next election. The Senate vote is expected to be decisive, with conservative lawmakers divided over whether to back Moulin or oppose another Macron ally taking a powerful institutional position.

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A fresh public dispute has erupted between Kylian Mbappé and far-right politician Jordan Bardella over the growing influence of France’s far-right movement ahead of the 2027 presidential election. In a recent interview, Mbappe warned about the consequences of a potential victory for the far-right National Rally, saying such political changes could negatively impact the country’s future and social unity.

Bardella responded by mocking Mbappe’s departure from Paris Saint-Germain, pointing out that the club won the UEFA Champions League after the football star moved to Real Madrid. The exchange quickly gained attention online and reignited a long-running political disagreement between the two figures, who have previously traded criticism over immigration, inequality, and the role of celebrities in political debates.

The clash reflects broader tensions within France as the country prepares for a closely watched presidential election next year. Analysts say the National Rally has gained momentum due to rising living costs, anti-immigration sentiment, and growing dissatisfaction with traditional political elites. Bardella is widely seen as a possible presidential candidate if Marine Le Pen remains barred from contesting the election.

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France’s corporate elite is increasingly engaging with Marine Le Pen and her National Rally as the party gains momentum ahead of the 2027 presidential election. A recent dinner in Paris with top executives, including Bernard Arnault, highlighted growing efforts by business leaders to better understand—and potentially influence—the party’s economic agenda.

The meeting exposed clear divisions, particularly over Le Pen’s eurosceptic stance and her plans to reverse pension reforms. While she presented herself as pro-business, executives reportedly found her policy proposals lacking in detail, especially on trade and taxation. Despite past reluctance, major companies now see engagement as necessary given the party’s rising electoral prospects.

Business groups, including Medef, say dialogue does not imply support but reflects a need to prepare for possible political change. However, some executives warn that engaging with the far right risks legitimising a party whose economic plans remain unclear. Both sides appear to be testing boundaries, as companies seek to shape policy while the National Rally works to reassure markets.

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Sebastien Delogu, representing the far-left France Unbowed (LFI) party, has withdrawn from the second round of Marseille’s mayoral election in an effort to prevent the far-right National Rally (RN) from winning the city. Delogu had secured nearly 12% of votes in the first round, trailing Socialist incumbent Benoit Payan and RN candidate Franck Allisio, who received 36% and 35% respectively. His withdrawal leaves a three-way contest between Payan, Allisio, and conservative Martine Vassal in the upcoming vote on Sunday.

Delogu stated that he was pulling out to avoid endorsing a strategy that could threaten the city, while criticizing Payan for declining a formal alliance to unify opposition against the far-right. The RN, known for its anti-immigration and eurosceptic policies, has historically struggled in urban areas, but Marseille’s security challenges, including drug- and gang-related violence, have given the party a chance at a significant victory.

The withdrawal comes amid last-minute negotiations between left-wing parties across France to block RN candidates, with agreements reached in some cities such as Lyon and Toulouse, but not in Marseille, Paris, and Lille. In the capital, LFI candidate Sophia Chikirou urged the Socialists to merge lists, emphasizing the urgency for the left to act responsibly and prevent right-wing control of city halls.

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In the southern French city of Perpignan, far-right mayor Louis Aliot is campaigning for another term with a strong focus on law and order. Representing the National Rally, Aliot has made increased policing, surveillance cameras, and stricter enforcement key parts of his administration, presenting the city as a model for how his party would govern elsewhere.

Since taking office in 2020, the municipality has expanded its police force and intensified efforts against drug trafficking, leading to a sharp rise in reported cases and fines. Perpignan now has one of the highest ratios of municipal police per resident among major French cities. Supporters say these measures have improved safety and cleanliness, while critics argue the tougher policing has not solved deeper social and economic problems.

The city has become a symbolic battleground ahead of France’s municipal and future presidential elections, drawing attention from national political figures such as Jordan Bardella and Jean-Luc Mélenchon. Meanwhile, Aliot’s leadership also faces scrutiny over rising municipal debt and a pending court appeal that could affect his political future.

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French far-right leader Marine Le Pen has begun a critical appeal in Paris that could determine her eligibility to run in the 2027 presidential election. She was banned from holding public office in March after being convicted, along with eight former National Rally (RN) lawmakers, of misappropriating over €4 million in European Union funds. The case stems from payments made to staff working for the party instead of the European Parliament between 2004 and 2016.

Le Pen maintains that her actions were legitimate and hopes to convince the new panel of judges of her innocence. She also appealed her initial sentence of four years’ imprisonment, with two years suspended and two under home detention, and a €100,000 fine. The appeal hearing, which also involves the RN and ten other co-defendants, is scheduled to conclude on February 12, with a ruling expected before summer.

If the five-year ban is upheld, Le Pen would be barred from contesting the 2027 election. In such a scenario, her protégé, 30-year-old RN party president Jordan Bardella, is expected to lead the party’s presidential bid. The European Parliament is seeking more than €3 million in damages, while the RN must also pay a €2 million fine, half of which has been suspended.

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Interior Minister Gérald Darmanin announced that over 50 candidates and activists in France have been physically attacked ahead of the final round of parliamentary elections. The recent assault on government spokeswoman Prisca Thevenot, her deputy Virginie Lanlo, and a party activist in Meudon highlighted the violence. Thevenot, injured in the attack, returned with Prime Minister Gabriel Attal, who condemned the violence.

Darmanin attributed the attacks to a tense political climate, with more than 30 arrests made. The attackers varied from spontaneously angry individuals to ultra-left, ultra-right, and other political groups. Despite National Rally (RN) leading the polls, 217 candidates have withdrawn from local races to prevent RN from winning an outright majority.

Prime Minister Attal urged the public to reject the violence, while RN leader Jordan Bardella emphasized his commitment to combating insecurity. In response to the unrest, Darmanin announced the deployment of 30,000 police for Sunday’s vote. RN candidates have also faced attacks, including Marie Dauchy and Nicolas Conquer.

Despite opposition efforts to block RN, Marine Le Pen remains optimistic about securing an absolute majority. The latest Ifop poll suggests RN will win 210-240 seats, short of the 289 needed for a majority. RN’s policies include prioritizing French citizens over immigrants for jobs and housing and restricting citizenship rights. Prosecutors are investigating a “patriotic network” targeting lawyers who opposed RN.

Football captain Kylian Mbappé urged voters to make the right choice, warning against putting the country in the hands of the far-right.

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France’s fast-paced election campaign has concluded, and despite last-minute pleas against supporting the far-right, voters seem poised to deliver a historic win for the National Rally (RN) party in parliamentary elections. Prime Minister Gabriel Attal has cautioned that this could lead to increased hate and aggression. Nonetheless, the party led by Marine Le Pen and the 28-year-old Jordan Bardella, who could potentially become the next prime minister, is leading in the opinion polls.

The National Rally has managed to maintain its position despite numerous accusations of racism involving both party members and supporters. The critical question now is whether they can secure an absolute majority in the two rounds of voting over the next two Sundays.

RN is preparing for a significant outcome, with polls showing 36.5% support just before the campaign ended. Their candidates aim to win many seats in the National Assembly outright, but most will be decided in run-off votes on July 7, involving two to four contenders.

A newly formed left-wing alliance, the New Popular Front, is close behind RN with 29% support, while the Ensemble alliance, led by Gabriel Attal, is at 20.5%. Attal describes both RN and the New Popular Front as extreme.

No region of mainland France supported RN more than L’Aisne in the European vote, with over 50% backing. This area already has RN MPs and a National Rally mayor, Franck Briffaut, who sees victory as inevitable, likening it to Giorgia Meloni’s win in Italy.

Briffaut and others in his party aim for an absolute majority in the National Assembly, needing at least 289 of the 577 seats. However, President Macron, who will appoint the next prime minister, has indicated he will remain in office until his term ends in 2027.

Jordan Bardella is pushing for an absolute majority and has hinted at a “government of national unity.” He has suggested including former conservative leader Eric Ciotti, despite his alienation from most colleagues. This raises questions about potential power-sharing with President Macron, which could lead to a difficult political landscape.

Interior Minister Gérald Darmanin has warned of possible unrest from both the ultra-left and ultra-right following the elections. In the northern town of Soissons, which has an RN MP, locals remain skeptical of RN’s impact, despite the party’s rebranding efforts.

RN’s platform includes “National priority,” which limits social welfare to French citizens, alongside tax cuts and restrictions on strategic jobs for dual nationals. This has raised concerns among some, especially in diverse communities.

The outcome of this election could significantly impact French politics, with the possibility of RN gaining substantial influence in the National Assembly.

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