Global food prices climbed to their highest level since late 2022 in August, driven by extreme weather, geopolitical tensions and growing concerns over agricultural supplies, according to the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). The FAO Food Price Index averaged 133.3 points, up from a revised 130.8 in July, marking the highest reading since November 2022.
All major food categories tracked by the index—including cereals, vegetable oils, sugar, meat and dairy—recorded increases. Extreme heat and drought in Europe have threatened maize, sugar beet and livestock production, while expectations of a strong El Niño have raised concerns over palm oil and sugar supplies in Asia. Rising tensions and disruptions in the Black Sea have also affected grain shipments from Russia and Ukraine.
The FAO also lowered its forecast for global cereal production in 2026 by 3.4 million metric tons to 2.980 billion tons, which would represent a 2% decline from 2025. Global cereal stocks for the 2026/27 season were also revised down to 947.2 million tons. Despite the reductions, projected production is still expected to be the second-highest on record, highlighting the growing pressure from climate and geopolitical risks on global food markets.
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