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Russia: Instability ratchets up pressure on Vladimir Putin

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It seems that you are sharing a blog post or an article discussing recent events in Russia, specifically regarding the Wagner rebellion and its implications for President Vladimir Putin. While I can provide some context and analysis, please note that the information I provide is based on knowledge available up until September 2021, and I cannot provide real-time updates on current events.

The events described in the blog post indicate a sense of uncertainty and shifting perceptions surrounding President Putin and his leadership. The author highlights the contradictory messages coming from the Kremlin and suggests that these mixed signals may weaken Putin’s image. The dropping of criminal charges against the Wagner leader, despite earlier strong rhetoric condemning the rebellion, is seen as a significant shift.

The author also suggests that these events, along with other challenges faced by Russia, such as economic problems and cross-border incidents near Ukraine, may contribute to instability within the country. The speculation about potential changes in leadership and discussions among the Russian elite about the upcoming 2024 presidential election indicate that there may be a growing desire for alternative leadership among certain circles.

However, it is important to note that predicting political changes and leadership transitions is challenging, especially in the case of Russia. Vladimir Putin has demonstrated political survival skills throughout his long tenure, and it is uncertain how these recent events will ultimately impact his position.

Without further information on recent developments, it is difficult to predict President Putin’s next move accurately. The quoted exchange from an old Putin interview about forgiveness and treachery may provide some insight into his mindset, but it is ultimately open to interpretation.

It is essential to follow reliable news sources and analysis to stay updated on the latest developments in Russia and the implications for President Putin’s leadership.

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Ukraine war: Mystery over Chechen commander reported wounded in Ukraine

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A senior Chechen commander and member of the Russian parliament, Adam Delimkhanov, has been reported wounded in Ukraine. Delimkhanov is a close ally of Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov. Initially, Kadyrov described him as “incommunicado” and appealed to Ukrainian intelligence for help in finding him. Delimkhanov had previously commanded Chechen forces during Russia’s fight to seize the Ukrainian port of Mariupol in 2022.

Russian military TV channel Zvezda reported that Delimkhanov was “alive but wounded,” countering social media reports of his death. Ukrainian sources mentioned an unconfirmed attack on the Chechen Akhmat paramilitary in the city of Prymorsk, far from the front lines. However, fellow MP Dmitry Kuznetsov quoted Duma Speaker Vyacheslav Volodin, who had spoken to Delimkhanov and confirmed that he was “alive and well.”

Ramzan Kadyrov offered a reward for help in finding Delimkhanov but later retracted his earlier comments, claiming his ally was “not even wounded” and accusing Ukrainians of spreading lies. Kadyrov released a video to support his claims, but inconsistencies were found, suggesting possible manipulation.

Delimkhanov debunked rumors about his health on social media, and on the following day, he reposted Kadyrov’s video. The Kremlin expressed concern over the reported injuries and awaited clarification on the situation. Another military figure, Maj Gen Sergei Goryachev, was also reportedly killed in a missile strike, but there has been no official confirmation.

Several Russian generals have been killed since the beginning of the invasion, but if Goryachev’s death is confirmed, he would be the first high-ranking military fatality in a year.

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Ukraine war: Zelensky visits The Hague after new strikes in Ukraine

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There have been reports of explosions in several Ukrainian cities, including Kyiv, Zaporizhzhia, and Odesa, a day after Russia accused Ukraine of carrying out a drone attack on the Kremlin. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is currently in the Netherlands, where he is expected to address the International Criminal Court’s investigation into alleged Russian war crimes in Ukraine.

Mr. Zelensky denied his country’s involvement in the attack on Putin, stating that they are only fighting to defend their own territory. During his visit, Mr. Zelensky is scheduled to meet with Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte to discuss his request for more military support from the Netherlands.

Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte had previously stated that supplying fighter jets to Ukraine was not out of the question but would be a significant step. Following Russia’s accusation of a drone attack by Ukraine on the Kremlin, Russia threatened to retaliate at their discretion. In response, Ukraine reported air raids in several cities, and Russia launched strikes on Ukraine’s southern Kherson region, causing 21 fatalities.

Some commentators have suggested that the alleged drone attack on the Kremlin was staged by Russia as it is unlikely for two drones to penetrate multiple layers of air defense and detonate over the heart of the Kremlin. They believe that Russia may have orchestrated the attack to mobilize societal support and prepare for wider conflict.

However, some experts dispute this theory, stating that Russia would not want to appear vulnerable by staging an attack on the Kremlin, which may lead to questions about the efficacy of their air defenses and Putin’s protection.

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