Wine production in France, the world’s largest producer, is anticipated to decline significantly this year due to humid weather fostering disease in vineyards, as well as hail and frost affecting certain regions, according to the farm ministry’s announcement on Friday. The overall wine output is estimated to fall between 40 million and 43 million hectolitres, which is below the five-year average of 44.2 million and substantially less than the 2023 production of 47.9 million.

Wine and spirits are among France’s most significant export products, yet the sector is grappling with decreasing domestic consumption, particularly in areas like Bordeaux, leading to recent farmer protests. The impact of the reduced output on wine prices remains uncertain. While prominent châteaux often raise prices for their limited vintages, France is currently facing stiff competition in global markets. In Champagne, producers typically blend various vintages in their bottles, although this may not prevent price increases.

The French farm ministry reported that mildew, exacerbated by the humid early summer, affected most wine-growing regions and could result in considerable losses. Additionally, many vineyards suffered a reduction in flowers, leaves, and young berries due to the cool and damp conditions during the flowering period. However, the ministry noted that wet soils following months of rain might mitigate the decline in production, with plant growth lagging one to two weeks behind last year.

While the ministry did not provide specific regional forecasts, it indicated that Champagne’s production is expected to be lower than in 2023 due to spring frosts and hail impacting its potential. In the Bordeaux region, a reduction of about 8,000 hectares (19,768 acres) from the uprooting of vines to manage excessive output, combined with potential losses from coulure, mildew, and hailstorms, is likely to lead to further decreases in production following a downturn in 2023.

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