German Chancellor Friedrich Merz faces his first electoral challenge since taking office as voters head to the polls in the state of Baden-Württemberg on Sunday. The election is seen as an early test of support for Merz’s conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU), which hopes to regain dominance in a region long tied to Germany’s car industry.

Opinion polls show a tight race between the CDU candidate Manuel Hagel and the Greens’ Cem Özdemir, both polling around 28%. The winner will succeed outgoing Green premier Winfried Kretschmann, with the outcome likely shaping the balance of power in the state government coalition.

Meanwhile, the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) continues to poll strongly at about 20%, reflecting growing political shifts across Germany. The Baden-Württemberg vote is the first of several regional elections this year and comes amid economic concerns linked to rising fuel prices and global tensions.

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