France’s National Rally Prepares for Snap Elections as Bayrou Faces Confidence Vote

France’s far-right National Rally (RN) signaled on Monday that it is preparing for potential snap elections, warning that Prime Minister Francois Bayrou’s efforts to save his minority government are unlikely to succeed. Bayrou faces a September 8 confidence vote after unexpectedly announcing it last week in a bid to push through unpopular budget-tightening plans for 2026.

RN president Jordan Bardella said the party “must be ready for anything, including a return to the ballot box,” and revealed that 85% of RN’s candidates have already been selected. Marine Le Pen, despite being barred from standing for election due to a conviction for embezzling EU funds, remains the party’s dominant figure and said she and Bardella would meet Bayrou out of courtesy but expect little from the talks.

With opposition parties including the Socialists and Communists committed to voting against Bayrou, his government’s collapse appears imminent. If defeated, President Emmanuel Macron could either appoint a new prime minister, retain Bayrou in a caretaker role, or dissolve parliament for new elections. While Macron previously ruled out early polls, fresh elections could further fragment parliament, with RN poised to gain strength.

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