Fitch Downgrade Puts Pressure on New French PM Lecornu Amid Budget Talks

France’s credit rating has been cut by Fitch to A+ from AA-, its lowest on record, casting a shadow over newly appointed Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu as he begins budget negotiations. Fitch cited political instability and rising debt for the downgrade, which comes just days after President Emmanuel Macron named Lecornu as his fifth prime minister in two years. While markets reacted calmly, analysts warned the move raises fresh risks ahead of upcoming reviews by Moody’s and S&P.

The downgrade complicates the government’s efforts to present a draft 2026 budget to parliament by early October. Lecornu faces the daunting challenge of balancing investor demands for spending cuts with pressure from unions, who have called nationwide strikes this week, and political blocs divided over tax and reform strategies. In his first interviews, Lecornu scrapped unpopular holiday cuts but left the door open to higher taxes on the wealthy, a move opposed by business groups and conservatives but supported by the Socialists as a condition for backing his government.

With France’s deficit at 5.4% of GDP, Lecornu has pledged to put public finances on a “healthy trajectory,” though he admitted the budget may not fully reflect his own convictions. Employers’ federation MEDEF has threatened mass mobilization against any wealth tax, while the far-right National Rally renewed calls for fresh elections. Analysts warn that continued political gridlock could lead to another downgrade, increasing borrowing costs and straining Macron’s already fragile government.

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